{"id":43491,"date":"2025-07-08T10:50:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T13:50:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-08-07-25\/"},"modified":"2025-07-08T11:02:39","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T14:02:39","slug":"cmf-pre-market-08-07-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-08-07-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 08-07-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>La licitaci\u00f3n recibe los pesos de las casi extintas LEFI<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>El Tesoro coloc\u00f3 deuda por $8,5 billones, frente a un vencimiento de apenas $2,9 billones. El fuerte rollover se explic\u00f3, en gran medida, por la reinversi\u00f3n de fondos provenientes de las LEFI, instrumentos que est\u00e1n en proceso de desactivaci\u00f3n y que concentran una gran parte de la liquidez cautiva del sistema. Como referencia, las tres letras m\u00e1s cortas del Programa de licitaci\u00f3n quincenal que reemplazan a las LEFI como instrumento de manejo de liquidez acumularon $6,6 billones adjudicados. Sus tasas de corte estuvieron entre 2,56% y 2,65% TEM, pagando un leve premio contra mercado. Los dollar-linked tuvieron demanda por casi USD 1.000 millones a tasas de 0% y 5% por sobre devaluaci\u00f3n. Todav\u00eda queda un monto elevado en LEFI, que seguir\u00e1n siendo liberados hasta el 17 de julio cuando dejen de existir por completo. <strong>Lo m\u00e1s probable es que aumente el encaje a tasa cero, aumente la demanda en la parte corta de LECAPs y haya m\u00e1s movimiento en ruedas como REPI de A3.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el d\u00f3lar oficial (A3500) abre la rueda en zona de $1.260.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Licitaci\u00f3n del MECON: <\/strong>enfrentando vencimientos por apenas $2,9 billones, el Tesoro coloc\u00f3 en la subasta de ayer $8,5 billones entre todos los t\u00edtulos ofrecidos. De acuerdo con Quirno, el rollover alcanzado del 295% es \u201cconsistente con el desarme de las LEFI ante su pr\u00f3xima extinci\u00f3n\u201d. La mayor parte de la licitaci\u00f3n ($6,6 billones) se adjudic\u00f3 entre las tres LECAPs m\u00e1s cortas, con un premio de entre 9 y 20 pbs TEM con respecto al cierre en el mercado secundario.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Reservas internacionales: <\/strong>seg\u00fan datos oficiales, el jueves pasado aumentaron los dep\u00f3sitos del Gobierno en el Banco Central y disminuyeron los dep\u00f3sitos en pesos. Es probable que se trate de una nueva compra de USD 200 MM por parte del Tesoro, en cuyo caso la operaci\u00f3n se habr\u00eda hecho a un tipo de cambio de $1.225.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflaci\u00f3n: <\/strong>hoy a las 12hs se publicar\u00e1 la inflaci\u00f3n de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires. A modo de referencia, en mayo, el IPCBA fue mayor en 0,1 pp al dato del INDEC.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional:<\/strong> Trump vuelve a retroceder sobre sus pasos y extiende nuevamente el plazo final de la pausa en la imposici\u00f3n de tarifas universales al primero de agosto. Ya confirm\u00f3 que elevar\u00e1 las tarifas de Jap\u00f3n y Corea del Sur en un 25% a partir de la misma fecha. Ayer por la noche, en la Casa Blanca, Trump cen\u00f3 con Netanhayu, pero no hubo comunicado oficial con respecto a un cese el fuego en Medio Oriente. Con respecto a Ucrania, el presidente de EE.UU. dijo que enviar\u00e1 m\u00e1s armas para que se pueda defender de los ataques de Rusia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La licitaci\u00f3n recibe los pesos de las casi extintas LEFI El Tesoro coloc\u00f3 deuda por $8,5 billones, frente a un vencimiento de apenas $2,9 billones. El fuerte rollover se explic\u00f3, en gran medida, por la reinversi\u00f3n de fondos provenientes de las LEFI, instrumentos que est\u00e1n en proceso de desactivaci\u00f3n y que concentran una gran parte de la liquidez cautiva del sistema. Como referencia, las tres letras m\u00e1s cortas del Programa de licitaci\u00f3n quincenal que reemplazan a las LEFI como instrumento de manejo de liquidez acumularon $6,6 billones adjudicados. Sus tasas de corte estuvieron entre 2,56% y 2,65% TEM, pagando un [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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El fuerte rollover se explic\u00f3, en gran medida, por la reinversi\u00f3n de fondos provenientes de las LEFI, instrumentos que est\u00e1n en proceso de desactivaci\u00f3n y que concentran una gran parte&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/sin-categorizar\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Uncategorized<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Uncategorized<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 10 months ago","modified":"Updated 10 months ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on July 8, 2025","modified":"Updated on July 8, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on July 8, 2025 10:50 am","modified":"Updated on July 8, 2025 11:02 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43491"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43491\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43492,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43491\/revisions\/43492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}