{"id":42991,"date":"2025-06-02T11:21:43","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T14:21:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/?p=42991"},"modified":"2025-06-02T11:21:47","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T14:21:47","slug":"cmf-pre-market-02-06-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-02-06-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 02-06-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em><strong><em>Once meses consecutivos de d\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente cambiaria<\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em>La cuenta corriente cambiaria en base caja registr\u00f3 un nuevo d\u00e9ficit y acumul\u00f3 once meses consecutivos en negativo. El saldo comercial se recuper\u00f3 fuertemente con respecto a marzo, alcanzando USD 1.214 millones, mientras que los servicios profundizaron el d\u00e9ficit registrado en el mes pasado, llegando a USD 1.161 millones. Cabe destacar que, a partir del 14 de abril, las cifras de exportaciones comienzan a reflejar la totalidad de los d\u00f3lares liquidados por el MLC, dado que antes hab\u00eda un 20% que no se registraba producto del blend. El d\u00e9ficit de \u201cViajes, pasajes y otros pagos con tarjetas\u201d fue de USD 863 millones en abril, casi USD 300 millones m\u00e1s que el super\u00e1vit comercial devengado energ\u00e9tico. La demanda de billete por parte de personas humanas super\u00f3 los USD 2.000 millones, marcando un m\u00e1ximo luego de casi cinco a\u00f1os de cepo cambiario. <strong>Tendremos que esperar a los datos de mayo para entender bien la demanda genuina por moneda extranjera, excluyendo la volatilidad y el ruido de la salida del control de cambios.<\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el d\u00f3lar oficial (A3500) abre la rueda en zona de $1.185.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Balance cambiario: <\/strong>el Banco Central inform\u00f3 el viernes que el d\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente cambiario alcanz\u00f3 los USD 636 MM en abril, siendo este el resultado negativo m\u00e1s bajo desde junio 2024. Por otro lado, la liquidaci\u00f3n de los exportadores en el spot alcanz\u00f3 los USD 7.121 MM, siendo este el nivel mensual m\u00e1s alto desde mayo 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Intervenci\u00f3n del BCRA:<\/strong> seg\u00fan el Balance Cambiario de abril, el BCRA intervino en el d\u00f3lar CCL con USD 706 millones. Los vol\u00famenes operados en BYMA sugieren que esta intervenci\u00f3n se dio previo al inicio de la Fase 3 y la unificaci\u00f3n cambiaria.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central anunci\u00f3 el viernes nuevamente que no intervino en el mercado de divisas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>Ucrania atac\u00f3 bases estrat\u00e9gicas en Rusia y los medios lo catalogan como el \u201cPearl Harbor ruso\u201d. Durante el d\u00eda de ayer, decenas de drones atacaron con bombas aeropuertos militares, destruyendo capacidades de ataque clave para la potencia rusa. Por otra parte, China acusa a Trump de violar las condiciones del acuerdo de Ginebra y la bolsa reacciona a la baja. El petr\u00f3leo responde al alza frente al aumento de la tensi\u00f3n geopol\u00edtica y el mercado espera la presentaci\u00f3n de Powell.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Once meses consecutivos de d\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente cambiaria La cuenta corriente cambiaria en base caja registr\u00f3 un nuevo d\u00e9ficit y acumul\u00f3 once meses consecutivos en negativo. El saldo comercial se recuper\u00f3 fuertemente con respecto a marzo, alcanzando USD 1.214 millones, mientras que los servicios profundizaron el d\u00e9ficit registrado en el mes pasado, llegando a USD 1.161 millones. Cabe destacar que, a partir del 14 de abril, las cifras de exportaciones comienzan a reflejar la totalidad de los d\u00f3lares liquidados por el MLC, dado que antes hab\u00eda un 20% que no se registraba producto del blend. El d\u00e9ficit de \u201cViajes, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 02-06-25<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-02-06-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CMF PRE-MARKET 02-06-25\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Once meses consecutivos de d\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente cambiaria La cuenta corriente cambiaria en base caja registr\u00f3 un nuevo d\u00e9ficit y acumul\u00f3 once meses consecutivos en negativo. El saldo comercial se recuper\u00f3 fuertemente con respecto a marzo, alcanzando USD 1.214 millones, mientras que los servicios profundizaron el d\u00e9ficit registrado en el mes pasado, llegando a USD 1.161 millones. Cabe destacar que, a partir del 14 de abril, las cifras de exportaciones comienzan a reflejar la totalidad de los d\u00f3lares liquidados por el MLC, dado que antes hab\u00eda un 20% que no se registraba producto del blend. 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El saldo comercial se recuper\u00f3 fuertemente con respecto a marzo, alcanzando USD 1.214 millones, mientras que los servicios profundizaron el d\u00e9ficit registrado en el mes pasado, llegando a&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 10 months ago","modified":"Updated 10 months ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on June 2, 2025","modified":"Updated on June 2, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on June 2, 2025 11:21 am","modified":"Updated on June 2, 2025 11:21 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42991"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42991\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42992,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42991\/revisions\/42992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}