{"id":42654,"date":"2025-05-09T11:25:52","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T14:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/?p=42654"},"modified":"2025-05-09T11:25:56","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T14:25:56","slug":"cmf-pre-market-09-05-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 09-05-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em>Ajuste de expectativas<\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em>Ayer por la tarde, el Banco Central public\u00f3 el Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado de abril, en el que inform\u00f3 que las consultoras encuestadas ajustaron al alza sus proyecciones de inflaci\u00f3n con respecto a la edici\u00f3n de marzo. Ahora, la mediana se ubica en una cifra de 3,2% para abril (+100 bps), 2,8% para mayo (+80 bps) y 2,2% para junio (+40 bps), mientras que la tasa anual de 2025 se sit\u00faa en 31,8% (+430 bps). El relevamiento fue llevado a cabo dos semanas despu\u00e9s de la unificaci\u00f3n cambiaria y las proyecciones se ubicaron a\u00fan por encima de las breakeven de mercado. Si bien el ajuste vino acompa\u00f1ado por una leve revisi\u00f3n al alza de la depreciaci\u00f3n de la moneda ($1.322 para fin de a\u00f1o), tambi\u00e9n mejoraron las proyecciones de crecimiento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica para 2025, que ahora se ubican en 5,1% (mediana) y 5,4% (promedio del top 10 mejores pronosticadores). El dato de inflaci\u00f3n de abril se publicar\u00e1 el pr\u00f3ximo mi\u00e9rcoles, mismo d\u00eda en el que el Tesoro llevar\u00e1 a cabo la primera licitaci\u00f3n de mayo -en la que enfrentar\u00e1 vencimientos por m\u00e1s de $6 billones-, por lo que esperamos cierta volatilidad en el mercado de pesos.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el d\u00f3lar oficial (A3500) abre la rueda en zona de $1.120.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Financiamiento del BID: <\/strong>el BID anunci\u00f3 ayer que Argentina recibir\u00e1 un financiamiento de USD 500 millones para \u201cfortalecer su balance de pagos y avanzar con reformas estructurales destinadas a mejorar su marco de pol\u00edtica fiscal, con el fin de respaldar el proceso de recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica\u201d. Este cr\u00e9dito es parte de un paquete que alcanza los USD 10.000 millones en financiamiento, a los sectores p\u00fablico y privado del pa\u00eds durante los pr\u00f3ximos tres a\u00f1os.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Actividad: <\/strong>seg\u00fan el INDEC, el sector industrial registr\u00f3 una ca\u00edda en marzo del 4,5% mensual en la serie desestacionalizada, mientras que la construcci\u00f3n cay\u00f3 4,1% con respecto a febrero. Los datos de alta frecuencia muestran para abril un crecimiento mensual desestacionalizado.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central anunci\u00f3 ayer nuevamente que no intervino en el mercado de divisas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>el equity opera en positivo en el pre-market y el oro rebota 1%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ajuste de expectativas Ayer por la tarde, el Banco Central public\u00f3 el Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado de abril, en el que inform\u00f3 que las consultoras encuestadas ajustaron al alza sus proyecciones de inflaci\u00f3n con respecto a la edici\u00f3n de marzo. Ahora, la mediana se ubica en una cifra de 3,2% para abril (+100 bps), 2,8% para mayo (+80 bps) y 2,2% para junio (+40 bps), mientras que la tasa anual de 2025 se sit\u00faa en 31,8% (+430 bps). El relevamiento fue llevado a cabo dos semanas despu\u00e9s de la unificaci\u00f3n cambiaria y las proyecciones se ubicaron a\u00fan por encima [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 09-05-25<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CMF PRE-MARKET 09-05-25\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ajuste de expectativas Ayer por la tarde, el Banco Central public\u00f3 el Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado de abril, en el que inform\u00f3 que las consultoras encuestadas ajustaron al alza sus proyecciones de inflaci\u00f3n con respecto a la edici\u00f3n de marzo. 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El relevamiento fue llevado a cabo dos semanas despu\u00e9s de la unificaci\u00f3n cambiaria y las proyecciones se ubicaron a\u00fan por encima [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Banco CMF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/BancoCMF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-09T14:25:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-05-09T14:25:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/Cmf-Logo.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"254\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"106\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Belen Eliana Castillo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@BancoCMF\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@BancoCMF\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Belen Eliana Castillo\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Belen Eliana Castillo\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/#\/schema\/person\/25827da51076f465250edcf22b971b89\"},\"headline\":\"CMF PRE-MARKET 09-05-25\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-09T14:25:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-05-09T14:25:56+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-09-05-25\/\"},\"wordCount\":445,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Pre Market &amp; 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Ahora, la mediana se ubica en una cifra de 3,2% para abril (+100 bps),&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 12 months ago","modified":"Updated 12 months ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on May 9, 2025","modified":"Updated on May 9, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on May 9, 2025 11:25 am","modified":"Updated on May 9, 2025 11:25 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42654"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42655,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42654\/revisions\/42655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}