{"id":42535,"date":"2025-04-28T11:25:55","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T14:25:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-28-04-25\/"},"modified":"2025-04-28T11:26:17","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T14:26:17","slug":"cmf-pre-market-28-04-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-28-04-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 28-04-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>Cuenta corriente cambiaria deficitaria<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>El balance del mercado de cambios ha mostrado una din\u00e1mica compleja desde mediados del a\u00f1o pasado. En marzo, se registr\u00f3 el peor d\u00e9ficit de la era Milei, con -USD 1.433 millones en la cuenta corriente cambiaria. El saldo de bienes present\u00f3 el segundo saldo negativo desde diciembre 2023 y m\u00e1s grande desde junio 2023, cuando comenz\u00f3 a incrementarse significativamente la deuda comercial. En marzo, el monto de importaciones pagadas pr\u00e1cticamente se igual\u00f3 al de las devengadas. Esta situaci\u00f3n probablemente se mantenga debido a la liberaci\u00f3n de los pagos al exterior en abril. Sin embargo, el inicio de la cosecha y la salida de la temporada alta de vacaciones debiera contener la profundizaci\u00f3n de este saldo negativo, aunque no ser\u00e1 suficiente para revertir la tendencia negativa en 2025. <strong>Por lo tanto, la brecha deber\u00e1 ser financiada con la cuenta capital; motivo por el cual, el Gobierno liber\u00f3 el cepo a los inversores extranjeros con un m\u00ednimo de plazo de 120 d\u00edas de estad\u00eda en el pa\u00eds.<\/strong> \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el d\u00f3lar oficial (A3500) abre la rueda en zona de $1.170.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Balance cambiario: <\/strong>el viernes pasado se public\u00f3 el Balance Cambiario del BCRA, por el cual se inform\u00f3 que, en marzo, la cuenta de bienes y la cuenta corriente cambiaria cerraron con el d\u00e9ficit m\u00e1s grande en el gobierno de Milei. Tambi\u00e9n se conoci\u00f3 que los pagos al exterior por turismo alcanzaron los USD 997 MM, el mayor para un mes de marzo desde 2018. Por su parte, el BCRA intervino en el d\u00f3lar financiero con USD 202 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflaci\u00f3n:<\/strong> las consultoras privadas estiman para el mes de abril una inflaci\u00f3n mensual menor a la de marzo (3,7%). Durante el fin de semana, el titular del INDEC, Marco Lavagna, confirm\u00f3 que el instituto de estad\u00edstica presentar\u00e1 un nuevo \u00edndice de inflaci\u00f3n, que sumar\u00e1 y ponderar\u00e1 con mayor peso consumos m\u00e1s actualizados como plataformas de streaming, telefon\u00eda m\u00f3vil y otros servicios.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central anunci\u00f3 el viernes nuevamente que no intervino en el mercado de divisas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>las estimaciones de env\u00edo de cargas mar\u00edtimos sit\u00faan en -60% la llegada de productos chinos a EE.UU. Gigantes del retail como Walmart y Target alertaron de estanter\u00edas vac\u00edas y suba de precios. Seg\u00fan expertos, se espera que haya un fuerte aumento de los despidos en sectores como log\u00edstica, acarreo y retail. Luego de la leve liberaci\u00f3n de tensi\u00f3n a ciertos productos estadounidenses, Scott Bessent dijo que la desescalada del conflicto comercial depende de China. Durante el fin de semana, Trump dijo haber estado en contacto con China, dichos que fueron negados por Beijing. Esta semana, se conocer\u00e1n los datos de inflaci\u00f3n PCE, PMI y datos de creaci\u00f3n de empleo y tasa de desempleo. \u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cuenta corriente cambiaria deficitaria El balance del mercado de cambios ha mostrado una din\u00e1mica compleja desde mediados del a\u00f1o pasado. En marzo, se registr\u00f3 el peor d\u00e9ficit de la era Milei, con -USD 1.433 millones en la cuenta corriente cambiaria. El saldo de bienes present\u00f3 el segundo saldo negativo desde diciembre 2023 y m\u00e1s grande desde junio 2023, cuando comenz\u00f3 a incrementarse significativamente la deuda comercial. En marzo, el monto de importaciones pagadas pr\u00e1cticamente se igual\u00f3 al de las devengadas. Esta situaci\u00f3n probablemente se mantenga debido a la liberaci\u00f3n de los pagos al exterior en abril. Sin embargo, el inicio [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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En marzo, se registr\u00f3 el peor d\u00e9ficit de la era Milei, con -USD 1.433 millones en la cuenta corriente cambiaria. El saldo de bienes present\u00f3 el segundo saldo negativo desde diciembre 2023 y m\u00e1s grande&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 12 months ago","modified":"Updated 12 months ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on April 28, 2025","modified":"Updated on April 28, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on April 28, 2025 11:25 am","modified":"Updated on April 28, 2025 11:26 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42535","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42535"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42535\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42536,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42535\/revisions\/42536"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42535"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42535"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42535"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}