{"id":42130,"date":"2025-04-03T11:33:50","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T14:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-03-04-25\/"},"modified":"2025-04-03T11:36:22","modified_gmt":"2025-04-03T14:36:22","slug":"cmf-pre-market-03-04-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-03-04-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 03-04-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>Nadie escapa a las tarifas de Trump<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ayer, el presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, anunci\u00f3 la imposici\u00f3n de tarifas rec\u00edprocas a todos los pa\u00edses del mundo. El c\u00e1lculo de la tasa arancelaria parece pecar de simplista, sin tener en cuenta las situaciones particulares de cada pa\u00eds, lo que da lugar a imposiciones tributarias desproporcionadas para pa\u00edses del tercer mundo. Argentina, por su parte, recibi\u00f3 la tasa m\u00e1s baja (10%), debido al super\u00e1vit comercial que tiene EE.UU. con nuestro pa\u00eds. El mercado reaccion\u00f3 de forma negativa al anuncio del presidente Trump, con el S&amp;P500 cayendo m\u00e1s de 3% y el crudo deslom\u00e1ndose 7%.<strong> Las estimaciones de recesi\u00f3n aumentaron notablemente, a la vez que las proyecciones de inflaci\u00f3n para 2025 suben hasta 5%. El escenario de estanflaci\u00f3n en EE.UU. toma cada vez m\u00e1s relevancia y el mercado busca cobertura en Treasuries, que pasan a rendir 4% a 10 a\u00f1os.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa el <em>crawling peg <\/em>a 1% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $1.073,75.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cae fuerte el mercado: <\/strong>tras el anuncio de Trump, el mercado cae fuerte y el <em>equity<\/em> entra en terreno de correcci\u00f3n. El S&amp;P500 cae 3,7%, el Nasdaq 4,5% y el Dow 3,3%. Por su parte, el crudo se desploma casi 7% y el oro no logra sostener el rally de los \u00faltimos d\u00edas al caer 1,9%. La demanda por cobertura en Treasuries se acelera y la tasa de 10 a\u00f1os comprime a 4%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Futuros de d\u00f3lar: <\/strong>el martes, los futuros de d\u00f3lar continuaron cayendo hasta 2,5% directo, acomodando las impl\u00edcitas por debajo de 4% TEM. Al parecer, no hubo intervenci\u00f3n oficial, por lo que la normalizaci\u00f3n pareciera haber sido genuina.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Viaje a EE.UU.: <\/strong>Milei y Caputo viajan a Estados Unidos para hablar con el presidente Trump en su residencia privada. Eric Trump, hijo del mandatorio estadounidense, twitte\u00f3: \u201cno quisiera ser el \u00faltimo pa\u00eds en intentar negociar un acuerdo comercial con Donald Trump. El primero en negociar ganar\u00e1 \u2013 el \u00faltimo definitivamente perder\u00e1\u2026\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central cort\u00f3 una racha negativa de once ruedas consecutivas con saldo negativo y cerr\u00f3 el martes con un saldo positivo de USD 53 millones en el MULC.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>Trump impuso tarifas rec\u00edprocas a todo el mundo y el mercado se desploma. La demanda por cobertura hace comprimir fuerte el costo de endeudamiento estadounidense.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nadie escapa a las tarifas de Trump Ayer, el presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, anunci\u00f3 la imposici\u00f3n de tarifas rec\u00edprocas a todos los pa\u00edses del mundo. El c\u00e1lculo de la tasa arancelaria parece pecar de simplista, sin tener en cuenta las situaciones particulares de cada pa\u00eds, lo que da lugar a imposiciones tributarias desproporcionadas para pa\u00edses del tercer mundo. Argentina, por su parte, recibi\u00f3 la tasa m\u00e1s baja (10%), debido al super\u00e1vit comercial que tiene EE.UU. con nuestro pa\u00eds. El mercado reaccion\u00f3 de forma negativa al anuncio del presidente Trump, con el S&amp;P500 cayendo m\u00e1s de 3% y el [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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El c\u00e1lculo de la tasa arancelaria parece pecar de simplista, sin tener en cuenta las situaciones particulares de cada pa\u00eds, lo que da lugar a imposiciones tributarias desproporcionadas&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 1 year ago","modified":"Updated 1 year ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on April 3, 2025","modified":"Updated on April 3, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on April 3, 2025 11:33 am","modified":"Updated on April 3, 2025 11:36 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42130","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42130"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42130\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42131,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42130\/revisions\/42131"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}