{"id":41616,"date":"2025-02-20T11:13:39","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T14:13:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-20-02-25\/"},"modified":"2025-02-20T11:14:03","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T14:14:03","slug":"cmf-pre-market-20-02-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-20-02-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 20-02-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>D\u00eda de negociaci\u00f3n en Washington<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>El d\u00eda de hoy, el presidente Milei tendr\u00e1 una reuni\u00f3n en Washington con la directora del FMI, Kristalina Georgieva. Esperamos que la reuni\u00f3n se centre en la negociaci\u00f3n del monto a recibir por parte del organismo, que, seg\u00fan el consenso de mercado, estar\u00eda cerca de los USD 10.000 millones. Cuando se analiza la din\u00e1mica de la cuenta corriente para este a\u00f1o, queda en evidencia que el d\u00e9ficit seguir\u00e1 profundiz\u00e1ndose en la medida en la que la apreciaci\u00f3n cambiaria aumente el rojo en el balance de servicios. Incluso considerando fondos frescos por el monto mencionado, el BCRA tendr\u00e1 dificultades para poder acumular reservas. <strong>Es fundamental que el sector exportador, principalmente el agro e hidrocarburos, tenga una muy buena performance este a\u00f1o para morigerar el impacto negativo de una cuenta corriente deficitaria.<\/strong> Otra alternativa que puede limitar la salida de d\u00f3lares es un aumento de la deuda comercial, con los riesgos que eso implica, como ya hemos experimentado en 2023.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa el <em>crawling peg <\/em>a 1% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $1.059.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Elecciones primarias: <\/strong>a partir de las 12 del mediod\u00eda, se discutir\u00e1 en el Senado el proyecto de suspensi\u00f3n de las PASO aprobado en Diputados. Para que se convierta en ley, se requerir\u00e1 el respaldo de al menos 37 senadores.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflaci\u00f3n mayorista: <\/strong>seg\u00fan el INDEC, la inflaci\u00f3n mayorista de enero fue de 1,5% mensual, siendo este el mayor registro desde septiembre 2024. Los productos nacionales mostraron un alza del 1,6% en sus precios, mientras que los importados aumentaron 0,5% luego de haber mostrado deflaci\u00f3n cuatro meses consecutivos hasta diciembre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Banco Naci\u00f3n:<\/strong> mediante un decreto publicado hoy, el Gobierno oficializ\u00f3 la transformaci\u00f3n del Banco Naci\u00f3n en sociedad an\u00f3nima. El 99,9% del capital social quedar\u00e1 en manos del Estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central compr\u00f3 ayer USD 147 MM en el MULC, por lo que el saldo acumulado en lo que va de febrero desciende a USD 1.1164 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>Trump contin\u00faa generando titulares, luego de haber hecho una publicaci\u00f3n en donde acusa al presidente de Ucrania, Volod\u00edmir Zelenski de \u201cdictador\u201d y culparlo de la muerte de millones de ucranianos por haber ido a la guerra con Rusia. En EE.UU., las minutas de la Fed mostraron a un comit\u00e9 de pol\u00edtica monetaria con el mismo punto de vista sobre el devenir de la tasa. La mayor\u00eda concord\u00f3 en que esperan nuevos avances en el proceso desinflacionario para continuar con el recorte de Fed Funds, en un escenario de pleno empleo. Los miembros del comit\u00e9 siguen de cerca la pol\u00edtica arancelaria de Trump y su impacto en los precios y el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00eda de negociaci\u00f3n en Washington El d\u00eda de hoy, el presidente Milei tendr\u00e1 una reuni\u00f3n en Washington con la directora del FMI, Kristalina Georgieva. Esperamos que la reuni\u00f3n se centre en la negociaci\u00f3n del monto a recibir por parte del organismo, que, seg\u00fan el consenso de mercado, estar\u00eda cerca de los USD 10.000 millones. Cuando se analiza la din\u00e1mica de la cuenta corriente para este a\u00f1o, queda en evidencia que el d\u00e9ficit seguir\u00e1 profundiz\u00e1ndose en la medida en la que la apreciaci\u00f3n cambiaria aumente el rojo en el balance de servicios. Incluso considerando fondos frescos por el monto mencionado, el [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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Esperamos que la reuni\u00f3n se centre en la negociaci\u00f3n del monto a recibir por parte del organismo, que, seg\u00fan el consenso de mercado, estar\u00eda cerca de los USD 10.000 millones. Cuando&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 1 year ago","modified":"Updated 1 year ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on February 20, 2025","modified":"Updated on February 20, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on February 20, 2025 11:13 am","modified":"Updated on February 20, 2025 11:14 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41616"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41617,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41616\/revisions\/41617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}