{"id":41562,"date":"2025-02-18T10:52:54","date_gmt":"2025-02-18T13:52:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-18-02-25\/"},"modified":"2025-02-18T10:54:15","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T13:54:15","slug":"cmf-pre-market-18-02-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-18-02-25\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 18-02-25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>Inicio de a\u00f1o con super\u00e1vit fiscal<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ayer, la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda public\u00f3 el resultado fiscal de enero del Sector P\u00fablico Nacional. Al igual que en enero del a\u00f1o pasado, el fisco logr\u00f3 un abultado super\u00e1vit fiscal financiero de $600 mil millones. El excedente primario ascendi\u00f3 a 0,30% del PBI (contra 0,35% el a\u00f1o pasado), a pesar de un crecimiento real del gasto en casi 14 puntos porcentuales y una ca\u00edda de los ingresos totales de 2,1% contra enero 2024. El incremento del gasto se explica, principalmente, por la recuperaci\u00f3n de las jubilaciones y pensiones, el gasto social y los subsidios econ\u00f3micos. El a\u00f1o pasado, el Gobierno hab\u00eda acumulado deuda \u2013CAMMESA\u2013, lo que permiti\u00f3 reducir fuertemente el gasto por esa v\u00eda. La asignaci\u00f3n sin intermediarios sigui\u00f3 creciendo con fuerza en enero con un crecimiento real del 42,6. Por su parte, a pesar de que la recaudaci\u00f3n tributaria nacional hab\u00eda mostrado un incremento real interanual de casi 6 puntos porcentuales en enero \u2013AFIP\u2013, no logr\u00f3 traducirse en un aumento de los ingresos totales, porque los no tributarios cayeron 27% real interanual. <strong>El 2025 ser\u00e1 un a\u00f1o dif\u00edcil, pero creemos que el Gobierno lograr\u00e1 mantener la disciplina fiscal.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa el <em>crawling peg <\/em>a 1% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $1.058.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resultado fiscal: <\/strong>el Sector P\u00fablico Nacional registr\u00f3 en enero un super\u00e1vit fiscal primario de $2,43 billones, y un super\u00e1vit financiero de $599.800 MM. El resultado fue logrado a pesar de un aumento del 13,5% real interanual en el gasto y una contracci\u00f3n del 2,1% real a\/a en los ingresos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Proyecto $LIBRA: <\/strong>en una entrevista, el presidente afirm\u00f3 ayer que no promocion\u00f3 el lanzamiento de la criptomoneda, sino que solo lo difundi\u00f3, sosteniendo que el Estado \u201cno jug\u00f3 ning\u00fan rol\u201d.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Acuerdo con el FMI: <\/strong>el ministro de Econom\u00eda inform\u00f3 ayer que el Gobierno se encuentra en los \u201cpuntos finales de la negociaci\u00f3n\u201d del nuevo acuerdo con el FMI, aunque todav\u00eda no definieron el monto a recibir. Adem\u00e1s, aclar\u00f3 que el programa deber\u00e1 pasar por el Congreso.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central vendi\u00f3 ayer USD 15 MM en el MULC, por lo que el saldo acumulado en lo que va de febrero desciende a USD 846 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>el petr\u00f3leo opera al alza, en medio de reuniones entre EE.UU. y Rusia para llegar a un acuerdo para poner fin a la guerra con Ucrania. Mientras tanto, las exportaciones de Kazajist\u00e1n se ven afectadas por un ataque con drones. Por su parte, Warren Buffet contin\u00faa apostando por el sector de Oil &amp; Gas al incrementar su posici\u00f3n en Occidental Petroleum. Las tasas del Tesoro de EE.UU. operan al alza en todos los tramos con la tasa de 10 a\u00f1os en 4,51%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Inicio de a\u00f1o con super\u00e1vit fiscal Ayer, la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda public\u00f3 el resultado fiscal de enero del Sector P\u00fablico Nacional. Al igual que en enero del a\u00f1o pasado, el fisco logr\u00f3 un abultado super\u00e1vit fiscal financiero de $600 mil millones. El excedente primario ascendi\u00f3 a 0,30% del PBI (contra 0,35% el a\u00f1o pasado), a pesar de un crecimiento real del gasto en casi 14 puntos porcentuales y una ca\u00edda de los ingresos totales de 2,1% contra enero 2024. El incremento del gasto se explica, principalmente, por la recuperaci\u00f3n de las jubilaciones y pensiones, el gasto social y los subsidios [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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Al igual que en enero del a\u00f1o pasado, el fisco logr\u00f3 un abultado super\u00e1vit fiscal financiero de $600 mil millones. El excedente primario ascendi\u00f3 a 0,30% del PBI (contra 0,35% el a\u00f1o pasado), a&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 1 year ago","modified":"Updated 1 year ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on February 18, 2025","modified":"Updated on February 18, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on February 18, 2025 10:52 am","modified":"Updated on February 18, 2025 10:54 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41562","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41562"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41562\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41563,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41562\/revisions\/41563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41562"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41562"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41562"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}