{"id":40035,"date":"2024-10-24T11:39:08","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T14:39:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-24-10-24\/"},"modified":"2024-10-24T11:40:57","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T14:40:57","slug":"cmf-pre-market-24-10-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-24-10-24\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 24-10-24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Sorpresa en el EMAE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Los indicadores l\u00edderes anticipaban un leve retroceso de la actividad en agosto, sin embargo, el EMAE anot\u00f3 el segundo mes consecutivo al alza con una suba de 0,2% m\/m s.e. De esta manera, el proxy del PBI argentino se encuentra casi en el mismo nivel de diciembre 2023, pero los fundamentals son claramente mejores. La econom\u00eda actual presenta super\u00e1vits gemelos y riesgo pa\u00eds, inflaci\u00f3n y brecha cambiaria sustancialmente m\u00e1s bajos. La revisi\u00f3n de datos muestra cierto aumento de la volatilidad en los \u00faltimos meses, con ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s abruptas, pero tambi\u00e9n recuperaciones m\u00e1s abultadas. En los primeros ocho meses del a\u00f1o, la actividad cay\u00f3 3,1% acumulado, mientras que la din\u00e1mica interanual anot\u00f3 una ca\u00edda de 3,8%. <strong>Se espera que la econom\u00eda contin\u00fae recuper\u00e1ndose en los \u00faltimos cuatros meses del a\u00f1o, para finalizar el 2024 con una contracci\u00f3n en el rango de 3,5-3,7%.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $986.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Deuda soberana: <\/strong>seg\u00fan Bloomberg, el pa\u00eds negocia un repo a 3 a\u00f1os por USD 2.700 MM y, de acuerdo con Infobae, Caputo inform\u00f3 al Financial Times que se pagar\u00e1n los vencimientos de capital de los bonos de enero 2025 con un repo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>M\u00e1s financiamiento:<\/strong> el MECON inform\u00f3 que el Grupo Banco Mundial y el Grupo BID otorgar\u00e1n financiamiento por USD 8.800 MM para \u201cimpulsar el desarrollo econ\u00f3mico argentino\u201d.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>EMAE: <\/strong>seg\u00fan el EMAE, la actividad de agosto creci\u00f3 0,2% mensual en la serie desestacionalizada, pero anot\u00f3 una ca\u00edda de 3,8% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. De esta manera, el arrastre estad\u00edstico para 2024 se ubica en -3,8%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central compr\u00f3 ayer otros USD 40 MM en el MULC, por lo que el acumulado en el mes asciende a USD 988 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>Tesla present\u00f3 balance, super\u00f3 todas las expectativas y el mercado convalida con una suba de 16,5%. Elon Musk anunci\u00f3 que la compa\u00f1\u00eda espera aumentar entre 20 y 30% las ventas para el a\u00f1o que viene, por el lanzamiento de una nueva l\u00ednea de veh\u00edculos m\u00e1s econ\u00f3micos. Vista Energy tambi\u00e9n report\u00f3 ganancias del 3er trimestre, y super\u00f3 las expectativas de los analistas. El l\u00edder en oil &amp; gas argentino anunci\u00f3 aumento de ventas por 53% a\/a y una utilidad operativa casi 30% superior al mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o anterior. Por su parte, el libro Beige de la Fed evidenci\u00f3 cierta estabilidad en la econom\u00eda estadounidense, con solo dos distritos de los doce de la Reserva Federal reportando un crecimiento de la actividad.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sorpresa en el EMAE Los indicadores l\u00edderes anticipaban un leve retroceso de la actividad en agosto, sin embargo, el EMAE anot\u00f3 el segundo mes consecutivo al alza con una suba de 0,2% m\/m s.e. De esta manera, el proxy del PBI argentino se encuentra casi en el mismo nivel de diciembre 2023, pero los fundamentals son claramente mejores. La econom\u00eda actual presenta super\u00e1vits gemelos y riesgo pa\u00eds, inflaci\u00f3n y brecha cambiaria sustancialmente m\u00e1s bajos. La revisi\u00f3n de datos muestra cierto aumento de la volatilidad en los \u00faltimos meses, con ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s abruptas, pero tambi\u00e9n recuperaciones m\u00e1s abultadas. En los primeros [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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De esta manera, el proxy del PBI argentino se encuentra casi en el mismo nivel de diciembre 2023, pero los fundamentals&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on October 24, 2024","modified":"Updated on October 24, 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on October 24, 2024 11:39 am","modified":"Updated on October 24, 2024 11:40 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40035"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40035\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40036,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40035\/revisions\/40036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}