{"id":39980,"date":"2024-10-21T11:21:54","date_gmt":"2024-10-21T14:21:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-21-10-24\/"},"modified":"2024-10-21T11:22:19","modified_gmt":"2024-10-21T14:22:19","slug":"cmf-pre-market-21-10-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-21-10-24\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 21-10-24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Diez meses consecutivos de saldo positivo<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>El comercio exterior contin\u00faa viviendo sus mejores d\u00edas y en septiembre se cumpli\u00f3 el d\u00e9cimo mes consecutivo de super\u00e1vit al finalizar con un saldo positivo de USD 981 millones. A pesar de un repunte considerable de las importaciones por la reducci\u00f3n del impuesto PAIS, las exportaciones tuvieron una perfomance muy buena, al crecer 20,6% en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior. En lo que va del a\u00f1o, las ventas al exterior subieron 15,5% con respecto al mismo per\u00edodo de 2023, mientras que las importaciones cayeron 24,2%. Esperamos que en los pr\u00f3ximos meses contin\u00fae la mejora de las importaciones, de la mano de la recuperaci\u00f3n de la actividad y un costo menor producto de la baja de impuesto PAIS y aranceles. El balance energ\u00e9tico sigue sorprendiendo y el futuro luce muy prometedor. <strong>Vemos de m\u00e1xima importancia que se recuperen los precios de los commodities para compensar el aumento de las importaciones en los meses por venir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $984.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Super\u00e1vit comercial: <\/strong>el INDEC inform\u00f3 que en el mes de septiembre se registr\u00f3 el d\u00e9cimo mes consecutivo con super\u00e1vit comercial, alcanzando los USD 981 MM y acumulando USD 16.093 MM desde diciembre 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflaci\u00f3n:<\/strong> seg\u00fan estimaciones de la compa\u00f1\u00eda de Alberto Cavallo, la inflaci\u00f3n mensual de alta frecuencia est\u00e1 cayendo nuevamente y lleg\u00f3 al 2,36% mensual. Esta medici\u00f3n se asemeja a la categor\u00eda N\u00facleo, ya que toma precios de forma online y excluye varios servicios.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>FMI: <\/strong>seg\u00fan medios de comunicaci\u00f3n, Caputo se reunir\u00e1 con Georgieva en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas, en el marco de su viaje junto a Bausili a Washington, en donde participar\u00e1n de la asamblea anual del FMI y el Banco Mundial.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central compr\u00f3 el viernes USD 1 MM en el MULC, por lo que el acumulado en el mes asciende a USD 760 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>Luego de datos de actividad que muestran una velocidad de crecimiento menor a lo esperado, el banco central de China volvi\u00f3 a bajar la tasa de inter\u00e9s de pr\u00e9stamos para acelerar la recuperaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda. A pesar del anuncio, no hubo movimientos significativos en el equity. En EE.UU., el d\u00e9ficit contin\u00faa siendo motivo de preocupaci\u00f3n; el d\u00e9ficit primario alcanz\u00f3 el 3,06% del PBI, anotando el registro m\u00e1s alto desde 1996. Por su parte, miembros del FOMC se muestran m\u00e1s cautelosos con respecto a una nueva baja de tasas por parte de la Fed. Esta semana contin\u00faa la temporada de balances, con el turno de Tesla, Coca-Cola, GM y Colgate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Diez meses consecutivos de saldo positivo El comercio exterior contin\u00faa viviendo sus mejores d\u00edas y en septiembre se cumpli\u00f3 el d\u00e9cimo mes consecutivo de super\u00e1vit al finalizar con un saldo positivo de USD 981 millones. A pesar de un repunte considerable de las importaciones por la reducci\u00f3n del impuesto PAIS, las exportaciones tuvieron una perfomance muy buena, al crecer 20,6% en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior. En lo que va del a\u00f1o, las ventas al exterior subieron 15,5% con respecto al mismo per\u00edodo de 2023, mientras que las importaciones cayeron 24,2%. Esperamos que en los pr\u00f3ximos meses contin\u00fae la mejora [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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A pesar de un repunte considerable de las importaciones por la reducci\u00f3n del impuesto PAIS, las exportaciones tuvieron una perfomance&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on October 21, 2024","modified":"Updated on October 21, 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on October 21, 2024 11:21 am","modified":"Updated on October 21, 2024 11:22 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39981,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39980\/revisions\/39981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}