{"id":39677,"date":"2024-09-27T10:57:13","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T13:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-27-09-24\/"},"modified":"2024-09-27T10:58:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-27T13:58:07","slug":"cmf-pre-market-27-09-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-27-09-24\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 27-09-24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Bajo rollover: \u00bfpunto Anker?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>La licitaci\u00f3n del d\u00eda de ayer supuso el comienzo de lo que el equipo econ\u00f3mico denomin\u00f3 \u201cpunto Anker\u201d. El t\u00e9rmino hace referencia al proceso de crowding in, que se da en cuanto comienza a repuntar la demanda de pesos y cr\u00e9dito al sector privado. Esto supone que el Estado deja de llevarse todo el cr\u00e9dito disponible en el mercado y las l\u00edneas de financiamiento comienzan a direccionarse hacia los privados. Esto se evidencia claramente en el crecimiento de los cr\u00e9ditos al sector privado en el activo de los balances de los bancos, en detrimento de los instrumentos del BCRA o el Tesoro. La licitaci\u00f3n del d\u00eda de ayer parece poner de manifiesto esto mismo: el Tesoro enfrentaba vencimientos por $7,1 billones pero solo recibi\u00f3 ofertas por $5,8 billones, para adjudicar $4,8 billones. De esta manera, el Tesoro alcanz\u00f3 un rollover de 67%, siendo de los m\u00e1s bajos de los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. <strong>La ca\u00edda en las ofertas de privados no deber\u00eda preocupar dado el abultado stock de dep\u00f3sitos que tiene el Tesoro en el BCRA. El continuo aumento de la demanda de dinero ayudar\u00e1 a estabilizar los precios en niveles inferiores.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $969.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Licitaci\u00f3n del MECON: <\/strong>en la subasta de ayer, en la que se enfrentaban vencimientos por $7,1 billones, el Tesoro adjudic\u00f3 $4,78 billones, habiendo recibido ofertas por $5,76 billones. La nueva LECAP de octubre se adjudic\u00f3 con una TEM de 3,75%, mientras que las de 2025 se colocaron con tasas entre 3,94% y 3,98% TEM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Dep\u00f3sitos en d\u00f3lares: <\/strong>el stock de dep\u00f3sitos en d\u00f3lares ya super\u00f3 los USD 27.000 MM, luego de haber aumentado USD 1.340 el martes, la mayor suba diaria desde que hay registro. Desde el 14 de agosto, el stock se increment\u00f3 en USD 8.444 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Pobreza:<\/strong> de acuerdo con datos del INDEC, la pobreza y la indigencia aumentaron en el primer semestre de 2024 a 52,9% y 18,1%, respectivamente, anotando sus mayores niveles desde la salida de la crisis de 2001.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Balance cambiario:<\/strong> hoy el BCRA publicar\u00e1 el Balance Cambiario de agosto, en el que se presentar\u00e1n los datos de acceso al MULC de los importadores y de la intervenci\u00f3n de la autoridad monetaria en el FX financiero.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central vendi\u00f3 ayer USD 20 MM netos en el MULC, por lo que el acumulado en el mes resulta en un saldo positivo de USD 181 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>los precios de gasto de consumo personal (PCE), indicador de inflaci\u00f3n preferido por la Fed, fue mejor a lo\u00a0 esperado en agosto y el mercado reacciona al alza. Por su parte, el consumo fue levemente menor a lo estimado, sin embargo, se sostiene en niveles saludables. Durante el mediod\u00eda, se conocer\u00e1n los datos de expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n para los pr\u00f3ximos 12 meses y 5 a\u00f1os realizado por la Universidad de Michigan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bajo rollover: \u00bfpunto Anker? La licitaci\u00f3n del d\u00eda de ayer supuso el comienzo de lo que el equipo econ\u00f3mico denomin\u00f3 \u201cpunto Anker\u201d. El t\u00e9rmino hace referencia al proceso de crowding in, que se da en cuanto comienza a repuntar la demanda de pesos y cr\u00e9dito al sector privado. Esto supone que el Estado deja de llevarse todo el cr\u00e9dito disponible en el mercado y las l\u00edneas de financiamiento comienzan a direccionarse hacia los privados. Esto se evidencia claramente en el crecimiento de los cr\u00e9ditos al sector privado en el activo de los balances de los bancos, en detrimento de los [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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La licitaci\u00f3n del d\u00eda de ayer supuso el comienzo de lo que el equipo econ\u00f3mico denomin\u00f3 \u201cpunto Anker\u201d. El t\u00e9rmino hace referencia al proceso de crowding in, que se da en cuanto comienza a repuntar la demanda de pesos y cr\u00e9dito al sector privado. Esto supone que el Estado deja de&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on September 27, 2024","modified":"Updated on September 27, 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on September 27, 2024 10:57 am","modified":"Updated on September 27, 2024 10:58 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39677"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39678,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39677\/revisions\/39678"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}