{"id":39393,"date":"2024-09-12T11:16:45","date_gmt":"2024-09-12T14:16:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-12-09-24\/"},"modified":"2024-09-12T11:18:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-12T14:18:02","slug":"cmf-pre-market-12-09-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-12-09-24\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 12-09-24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>El IPC no pudo con el 4%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ayer, el INDEC dio a conocer el IPC de agosto, que sorprendi\u00f3 al alza al anotar una variaci\u00f3n mensual de 4,2%, contra el 3,9% esperado por el REM. A pesar de la ayuda de estacionales (+1,5%), el \u00edndice general no logr\u00f3 romper la barrera del 4% y empeor\u00f3 el registro del mes pasado en 20 pbs. Lo m\u00e1s preocupante se dio en la medici\u00f3n n\u00facleo, que se deterior\u00f3 del ~3,7% promedio de los \u00faltimos 3 meses a 4,1% en agosto. Lo positivo de este \u00faltimo reporte fue que el ajuste de precios regulados se aceler\u00f3, lo que permite seguir avanzando hacia la normalizaci\u00f3n de precios, fundamental para que la reducci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n sea sustentable. <strong>Dado un proceso desinflacionario m\u00e1s lento, seguimos recomendando tomar cobertura CER a marzo 2025.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en ~$959,5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflaci\u00f3n de agosto: <\/strong>el IPC de agosto fue de 4,2% mensual. La categor\u00eda N\u00facleo se aceler\u00f3 a 4,1% (superior en 0,3 puntos respecto a julio), mientras que Regulados aument\u00f3 5,9% y Estacionales apenas 1,5%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ley jubilatoria: <\/strong>los diputados opositores no lograron conseguir ayer los dos tercios necesarios para revertir el veto de Milei a la nueva f\u00f3rmula jubilatoria.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Licitaci\u00f3n del MECON:<\/strong> el Tesoro coloc\u00f3 ayer $6,58 billones entre las 5 LECAPs ofrecidas, entre 3,75% y 3,95% TEM, y $0,41 billones entre los tres Bonceres a 2025, 2026 y 2027. Logr\u00f3 enfrentar los $6,97 billones de vencimientos y consigui\u00f3 financiamiento neto de $24.000 MM, habiendo rechazado posturas por $250.000 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central compr\u00f3 ayer USD 21 MM netos en el MULC, por lo que el acumulado desde la devaluaci\u00f3n de diciembre asciende a USD 17.332 MM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>el Banco Central Europeo (BCE) redujo su tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria en 25 bps. hacia 3,5%, en l\u00ednea con lo esperado. El BCE mantuvo sus proyecciones de inflaci\u00f3n general para los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, aunque aument\u00f3 levemente la proyecci\u00f3n de la n\u00facleo. Con respecto a la Fed, el mercado empieza a ponderar m\u00e1s la idea de una reducci\u00f3n de 25pbs., luego de haber pronosticado con casi un 40% de probabilidades una baja de 50 bps. durante varios d\u00edas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El IPC no pudo con el 4% Ayer, el INDEC dio a conocer el IPC de agosto, que sorprendi\u00f3 al alza al anotar una variaci\u00f3n mensual de 4,2%, contra el 3,9% esperado por el REM. A pesar de la ayuda de estacionales (+1,5%), el \u00edndice general no logr\u00f3 romper la barrera del 4% y empeor\u00f3 el registro del mes pasado en 20 pbs. Lo m\u00e1s preocupante se dio en la medici\u00f3n n\u00facleo, que se deterior\u00f3 del ~3,7% promedio de los \u00faltimos 3 meses a 4,1% en agosto. Lo positivo de este \u00faltimo reporte fue que el ajuste de precios regulados [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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A pesar de la ayuda de estacionales (+1,5%), el \u00edndice general no logr\u00f3 romper la barrera del 4% y empeor\u00f3&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on September 12, 2024","modified":"Updated on September 12, 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on September 12, 2024 11:16 am","modified":"Updated on September 12, 2024 11:18 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39393","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39393"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39393\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39394,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39393\/revisions\/39394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}