{"id":38573,"date":"2024-07-19T10:58:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-19T13:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-19-07-24\/"},"modified":"2024-07-19T11:04:27","modified_gmt":"2024-07-19T14:04:27","slug":"cmf-pre-market-19-07-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-19-07-24\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 19-07-24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>El resorte del campo<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ayer, el INDEC dio a conocer el dato de actividad correspondiente al mes de mayo, que mostr\u00f3 un crecimiento de 1,3% interanual. De esta manera, la econom\u00eda rebot\u00f3 y se acomod\u00f3 por encima del nivel que registr\u00f3 en mayo 2023. Cuando se analizan los determinantes de la expansi\u00f3n surge que \u00e9sta se logr\u00f3 espec\u00edficamente por el campo. La sequ\u00eda del a\u00f1o pasado hizo que la base de comparaci\u00f3n sea muy baja, y permiti\u00f3 que la recuperaci\u00f3n del sector sea mayor al 100%. La incidencia del campo sobre la variaci\u00f3n interanual fue mayor a 7 puntos; si se excluye al sector del \u00edndice, la actividad habr\u00eda ca\u00eddo m\u00e1s de 5 puntos. Sin embargo, la serie desestacionalizada mostr\u00f3 el primer avance mensual desde agosto 2023. Para junio, vale recordar que el dato estar\u00e1 afectado por menores d\u00edas laborales que el a\u00f1o pasado. <strong>Creemos que la actividad podr\u00eda comenzar a recuperarse desde los niveles registrados en abril.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $924,5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Recompra de puts: <\/strong>el Banco Central anunci\u00f3 que recompr\u00f3 opciones de liquidez por un valor total de $13,17 billones, de los cuales $10,89 billones corresponden puts americanos. De esta manera, dej\u00f3 un remanente de opciones de ejecuci\u00f3n inmediata que representa el 22% del monto total original.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>EMAE: <\/strong>como indica el editorial, de acuerdo con datos de INDEC, en mayo, la actividad econ\u00f3mica creci\u00f3 un 1,3% mensual desestacionalizado y un 2,3% con respecto al mismo mes del a\u00f1o anterior, lo cual representa la primera suba interanual de la econom\u00eda desde octubre 2023. \u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Balanza comercial: <\/strong>seg\u00fan INDEC, en junio se logr\u00f3 el s\u00e9ptimo mes consecutivo de super\u00e1vit comercial, producto de un aumento del 21,7% de las exportaciones y una disminuci\u00f3n de 35,4% de las importaciones. La cifra ascendi\u00f3 a USD 1.911 MM, lo cual representa el mejor registro para el mismo mes desde al menos 1990. De esta manera, se acumul\u00f3 un saldo de USD 11.726 MM desde diciembre de 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Blanqueo: <\/strong>la CNV public\u00f3 la reglamentaci\u00f3n que contiene las condiciones de las cuentas comitentes especiales para la regularizaci\u00f3n de activos y los FCI legibles para inversores que pretendan evitar la multa del blanqueo. Adem\u00e1s, estableci\u00f3 que aquellos que mantengan sus inversiones en t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos nacionales, provinciales o municipales hasta fines de 2025 quedar\u00e1n exentos de pago de la al\u00edcuota.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong>el Banco Central vendi\u00f3 ayer USD 62 MM en el MULC, acumulando un saldo de USD 17.393 MM desde la devaluaci\u00f3n de diciembre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong>el mercado internacional oper\u00f3 fuertemente a la baja el d\u00eda de ayer, con el Dow perdiendo 500 unidades. Hoy el <em>equity<\/em> abre en rojo luego de que se conociera una falla mundial en sistemas de CrowdStrike utilizados en computadoras Microsoft Windows. Esto gener\u00f3 problemas en aeropuertos, bancos y comunicaciones.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp;de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El resorte del campo Ayer, el INDEC dio a conocer el dato de actividad correspondiente al mes de mayo, que mostr\u00f3 un crecimiento de 1,3% interanual. De esta manera, la econom\u00eda rebot\u00f3 y se acomod\u00f3 por encima del nivel que registr\u00f3 en mayo 2023. Cuando se analizan los determinantes de la expansi\u00f3n surge que \u00e9sta se logr\u00f3 espec\u00edficamente por el campo. La sequ\u00eda del a\u00f1o pasado hizo que la base de comparaci\u00f3n sea muy baja, y permiti\u00f3 que la recuperaci\u00f3n del sector sea mayor al 100%. La incidencia del campo sobre la variaci\u00f3n interanual fue mayor a 7 puntos; si [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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De esta manera, la econom\u00eda rebot\u00f3 y se acomod\u00f3 por encima del nivel que registr\u00f3 en mayo 2023. Cuando se analizan los determinantes de la expansi\u00f3n surge que \u00e9sta&hellip;","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/category\/pre-market-daily-close-en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Pre Market &amp; Daily Close<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":0,"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on July 19, 2024","modified":"Updated on July 19, 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on July 19, 2024 10:58 am","modified":"Updated on July 19, 2024 11:04 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38573"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38574,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38573\/revisions\/38574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}