{"id":36424,"date":"2024-03-20T11:08:10","date_gmt":"2024-03-20T14:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-20-03-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-04-30T00:18:45","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T03:18:45","slug":"cmf-pre-market-20-03-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-20-03-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 20-03-2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Otro super\u00e1vit para la gesti\u00f3n Milei<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>El Gobierno contin\u00faa anotando super\u00e1vit tras super\u00e1vit, y esta vez fue el turno de la balanza comercial del mes de febrero. Las exportaciones devengadas del segundo mes del a\u00f1o fueron USD 5.531 MM y las importaciones acumularon USD 4.093 MM, logrando un super\u00e1vit de USD 1.438 MM. Cuando se analiza la din\u00e1mica del per\u00edodo, se verifica que el resultado se logr\u00f3 gracias a una ca\u00edda importante (-18,6% a\/a) de las importaciones y una mejora en la parte exportadora (+5,6%). Esto pone de manifiesto el impacto negativo de la recesi\u00f3n sobre las importaciones y un cepo cambiario que no ha sido resuelto en su totalidad. En la desagregaci\u00f3n por grandes rubros destaca nuevamente el super\u00e1vit comercial energ\u00e9tico, que supo ser deficitario durante casi toda la gesti\u00f3n de Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez y, en lo que va del a\u00f1o, acumula dos resultados positivos consecutivos. Ser\u00e1 importante seguir de cerca esta din\u00e1mica y ver si puede sostenerse en un escenario de liberalizaci\u00f3n del sector importador y recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica. Seguimos viendo valor en la parte corta de la curva hard-dollar, a medida que contin\u00faa el bull-steepening de la curva.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $853.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Nueva licitaci\u00f3n MECON: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el Tesoro ofrecer\u00e1 ma\u00f1ana una Lecap con vencimiento en enero 2025 y dos bonos CER con vencimiento en junio y agosto 2025 (TZX25 y TG25). La Lecap licitar\u00e1 tasa efectiva mensual y los Boncer licitar\u00e1n precio.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Super\u00e1vit comercial: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el INDEC dio a conocer los datos de la balanza de pagos de febrero. El super\u00e1vit comercial fue de USD 1.438 MM, siendo el mejor saldo para el mismo mes desde 1990 y el mejor resultado para cualquier mes desde octubre 2022, y se explic\u00f3 por una ca\u00edda de 18,6% en las importaciones y un aumento de 5,6% en las exportaciones.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>BOPREAL: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>hoy y ma\u00f1ana se llevar\u00e1 a cabo la cuarta licitaci\u00f3n de la serie 3 del bono para importadores, en la cual el Central ofrecer\u00e1 hasta USD 2.108 MM. Ayer se operaron en BYMA USD 16,6 MM de nominales de BPY26 contra cable a USD 71,10, dejando un d\u00f3lar impl\u00edcito de $1.412. La nueva licitaci\u00f3n liquida el 27 de marzo.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Saldo en el MULC:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>ayer el Banco Central vendi\u00f3 USD 73 MM en el MULC, en el tercer saldo negativo desde que asumi\u00f3 Milei. De esta manera,\u00a0 el saldo positivo de 2024 retrocede a USD 7.741 MM.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Contexto internacional: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el mercado internacional opera casi sin movimientos a la espera de la decisi\u00f3n de tasas del FOMC a conocerse el d\u00eda de hoy. \u00a0<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36424","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 20-03-2024 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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