{"id":34465,"date":"2022-10-13T11:49:05","date_gmt":"2022-10-13T14:49:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-13-10-2022\/"},"modified":"2024-04-26T12:22:53","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T15:22:53","slug":"cmf-pre-market-13-10-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-13-10-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 13-10-2022"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><strong>Fantasma del pasado<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>Todav\u00eda est\u00e1 fresca la herida generada por el sell-off del mercado de deuda en pesos de junio, gatillada por un rescate elevado que se produjo en un contexto de dudas acerca del rolleo. En las \u00faltimas ruedas se viene dando un din\u00e1mica parecida en cuanto a salida de fondos, pero diferente en cuanto a los tipos. Lo que fue una corrida contra la curva CER, en este caso se est\u00e1 dando en los fondos T+1 y Money Market; situaci\u00f3n tal vez explicada en la \u201cgarant\u00eda\u201d otorgada por los puts del BCRA de sostener la curva indexada a la inflaci\u00f3n. Por ahora el contado no parece haber recibido mucha demanda, pero cualquier profundizaci\u00f3n de esta din\u00e1mica podr\u00eda volver a generar una corrida contra el d\u00f3lar; podr\u00e1 contener el gobierno un nuevo salto en los d\u00f3lares financieros? La respuesta parece estar en el anclaje de expectativas, situaci\u00f3n que a\u00fan no parece haberse logrado.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><strong>Mercado de cambio: <\/strong><\/strong>el FX mayorista abre ARS 151.31 (+27 centavos diarios, equivalente a un ritmo de devaluaci\u00f3n del 65.24% TNA).<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Nuevo programa?<\/strong>: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>Seg\u00fan diversas fuentes, el gobierno estar\u00eda planeando presentar en noviembre un nuevo plan de estabilizaci\u00f3n, basado en un acuerdo formal de precios y salarios con el objetivo de frenar la suba de la inflaci\u00f3n; el acuerdo durar\u00eda aproximadamente 4 meses.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Baja la inflaci\u00f3n?: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>El d\u00eda de ayer CABA present\u00f3 la inflaci\u00f3n para el mes de septiembre y arroj\u00f3 un resultado de 5.6% mensual, lo que sorprendi\u00f3 esperando que la inflaci\u00f3n nacional arroje un porcentaje menor al 7%. La media de los analistas y consultoras privadas est\u00e1 en torno al 6.7%. Ma\u00f1ana se conocer\u00e1 el dato a las 16hs.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Nuevo pr\u00e9stamo<\/strong>: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>Ayer Sergio Massa confirm\u00f3 un nuevo pr\u00e9stamo con el BID por un total de USD 700 MM, con el fin de reforzar las arcas del Estado y as\u00ed permitir la cobertura de necesidades de corto plazo. El plazo de amortizaci\u00f3n ser\u00eda de 7 a\u00f1os, un per\u00edodo de gracia de 3 a\u00f1os y una tasa de inter\u00e9s basada en la SOFR.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong>Saldo en el MULC: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>Seg\u00fan fuentes de mercado, el d\u00eda de ayer el BCRA finaliz\u00f3 la jornada con un saldo acumulado negativo de USD 85 MM. Es la cuarta venta consecutiva en donde se observ\u00f3 mayor demanda por pago de importaciones y poca oferta comparada. De todas se esperaba dicha disminuci\u00f3n en la acumulaci\u00f3n de saldos.<\/li><li><strong><strong>Equity: <\/strong><\/strong>los mercados globales abren la jornada en negativo al conocerse nuevos datos de inflaci\u00f3n (CPI) para el mes de septiembre. Las cifras arrojaron subas mayores a la esperada y la desaceleraci\u00f3n en la variaci\u00f3n de precios se sigue demorando. El mercado prev\u00e9 que se sostengan altas tasas por mas tiempo y el SPX alcanza nuevos m\u00ednimos anuales.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 13-10-2022 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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