{"id":34418,"date":"2022-11-16T11:01:31","date_gmt":"2022-11-16T14:01:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-16-11-2022\/"},"modified":"2024-04-26T12:22:26","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T15:22:26","slug":"cmf-pre-market-16-11-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-16-11-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 16-11-2022"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>M\u00e1s que un dato de inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em>Con el dato de inflaci\u00f3n de octubre se vuelve a confirmar el piso de 6% mensual al cual vienen corriendo los precios desde julio. Si bien el mercado esperaba una inflaci\u00f3n en torno al 6.5%, el 6.3% sorprendi\u00f3 positivamente, aunque llama la atenci\u00f3n que Estacionales y Regulados registraron variaciones por encima del nivel general. Lo cierto es que a esta velocidad, el tipo de cambio oficial dejar\u00eda de atrasarse al correr por encima del nivel de precios, pero todav\u00eda queda un largo camino por recorrer para volver a valores de tipo de cambio real m\u00e1s competitivos. A\u00fan siendo este dato positivo, la tasa real sigue siendo negativa y los incentivos a moverse a d\u00f3lares financieros cada vez son mayores con un nivel de reservas que no para de mermar. Fin de a\u00f1o suele suponer un aumento de la demanda de dinero, pero el gobierno sigue de cerca esta din\u00e1mica porque no estar\u00eda cumpliendo con su l\u00f3gica estacional y se teme un salto de los d\u00f3lares paralelos que comienzan a despertarse.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Mercado de cambios:<strong> <\/strong><\/strong>el FX mayorista abre ARS 162.45 (+33 centavos diarios, equivalente a un ritmo de devaluaci\u00f3n del 74.29% TNA).<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>IPC octubre: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>El d\u00eda de ayer el INDEC dio a conocer el dato de inflaci\u00f3n correspondiente al mes de octubre. El dato fue menor a lo esperado y arroj\u00f3 una variaci\u00f3n de 6.3%. Desagregando el \u00edndice, Estacionales subi\u00f3 9.0%, Regulados 7.4% y N\u00facleo 5.5%. De esta manera, la inflaci\u00f3n acumulada al 10mo mes del a\u00f1o fue de 76.6%, la interanual alcanz\u00f3 88.0%.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Rubinstein y la macro<\/strong>: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>El actual Secretario de Programaci\u00f3n Econ\u00f3mica Gabriel Rubinstein declar\u00f3 que actualmente \u201cno hay consenso\u201d dentro del gobierno en cuanto al tipo de plan de estabilizaci\u00f3n a utilizar. Indic\u00f3 que cree que \u201cel orden macro pasa por el orden fiscal, ir al super\u00e1vit y unificar el mercado de cambios\u201d, aunque indic\u00f3 que liberar el cepo ahora podr\u00eda llevar a un Rodrigazo.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>China y el swap: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>El Presidente Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez confirm\u00f3 la ampliaci\u00f3n del swap con China por un monto de USD 5.000 MM. Lo novedoso del acuerdo pasa por la libre disponibilidad de los fondos, lo que implica que los importadores de productos chinos puedan cancelar pagos con yuanes. Seg\u00fan Massa, la formalizaci\u00f3n del acuerdo se llevar\u00e1 a cabo durante el transcurso de los pr\u00f3ximos 30 d\u00edas.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Saldo en el MULC:<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> Seg\u00fan operadores de mercado, el BCRA finaliz\u00f3 la jornada de ayer con ventas por USD 48 MM. La autoridad monetaria en las ultimas 13 ruedas vendi\u00f3 aproximadamente USD 1.000 MM y crecen las preocupaciones.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Equity: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>los mercados globales abren la jornada con variaciones mayormente negativas. Por un lado, las ventas minoristas implicaron una suba mayor a la esperada y esto traer\u00eda mayores presiones inflacionarias. Por otro lado, la cuesti\u00f3n geopol\u00edtica sigue afectando y las explosiones en Polonia marcan un nuevo foco de conflicto.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 16-11-2022 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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