{"id":34400,"date":"2022-11-30T10:49:12","date_gmt":"2022-11-30T13:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-30-11-2022\/"},"modified":"2024-04-26T12:22:15","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T15:22:15","slug":"cmf-pre-market-30-11-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-30-11-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 30-11-2022"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Suma pero siguen los baches<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>Los primeros d\u00edas de aplicaci\u00f3n del D\u00f3lar \u201cSoja\u201d traen consigo los resultados parciales esperados por las autoridades. La din\u00e1mica cambiaria de octubre y casi todo noviembre denotaba la preocupaci\u00f3n por la dificultad que ten\u00eda la autoridad monetaria para la acumulaci\u00f3n de reservas en el MULC, que incluso una mayor restricci\u00f3n a importaciones no fren\u00f3 el flujo vendedor por parte del BCRA. Desde el lunes, la tendencia ha cambiado y esto podr\u00eda traer calma, al menos en lo inmediato. Esta medida, tal como ocurri\u00f3 en septiembre, solo modifica expectativas en el corto plazo a un costo relativamente alto; en este caso, las liquidaciones del complejo oleaginoso y cereales se adelantar\u00edan por unos meses y solo se ver\u00eda alterada su estacionalidad. Por otro lado, la emisi\u00f3n monetaria \u201csin respaldo\u201d que implica el nuevo diferencial cambiario complica a\u00fan m\u00e1s el frente monetario que se viene deteriorando en los \u00faltimos meses. En t\u00e9rminos generales, el equilibrio macroecon\u00f3mico se mantiene inestable por m\u00e1s que se consiga aire de corto plazo; un sinceramiento de precios y disminuci\u00f3n de la brecha luce sumamente necesario para comenzar a alinear expectativas de largo plazo.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Mercado de cambios: <\/strong>el FX mayorista abre ARS 167.4 (+44 centavos diarios, equivalente a un ritmo de devaluaci\u00f3n del 96.19% TNA).<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Resultados segunda vuelta:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el Mecon llev\u00f3 a cabo la segunda vuelta de la licitaci\u00f3n para Creadores de Mercado, se consiguieron $7.600 millones principalmente concentrado en la Lede de marzo. Noviembre cerr\u00f3 con un financiamiento negativo de $2.000 millones. En diciembre el desaf\u00edo ser\u00e1 rollear $410.000 millones, de los cuales la mayor carga se ubica a mitad de mes.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Sigue la impresi\u00f3n de pesos<\/strong>: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el BCRA contin\u00faa interviniendo en la curva CER y ayer habr\u00eda comprado aproximadamente $3.700 millones, principalmente en TX24. El ritmo de intervenci\u00f3n en este caso es menor, aunque se contin\u00faa alterando la din\u00e1mica monetaria. Por otro lado, la impresi\u00f3n de pesos para cubrir el diferencial por compras del D\u00f3lar \u201cSoja\u201d, por el momento viene siendo de $83.000 millones, es decir un 1.8% de la Base Monetaria.<\/li><li><strong>Salida en los FCI:<\/strong> nuevamente se confirmaron nuevos rescates netos principalmente en fondos T+1 y Dollar-Linked; noviembre ha sido el peor mes en t\u00e9rminos de flujo desde lo ocurrido en junio. El principal segmento que mayores rescates ha sufrido fue el de DL y luego seguido por CER. Money Market fue la \u00fanica categor\u00eda con suscripciones netas aunque no llega a compensar el resto de salidas.<\/li><li><strong>Saldo en el MULC:<\/strong> seg\u00fan operadores de mercado, el BCRA finaliz\u00f3 la rueda de ayer con compras por USD 122 MM. De esta manera, el saldo negativo acumulado en noviembre alcanza la suma de USD 692 MM. En lo que va del nuevo esquema de liquidaci\u00f3n para sojeros, el BCRA compr\u00f3 USD 314 MM.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Equity: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>los futuros operan levemente en positivo a la espera de declaraciones del Presidente la FED, Jerome Powell y datos sobre el mercado de trabajo.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 30-11-2022 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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