{"id":34315,"date":"2024-02-14T11:04:49","date_gmt":"2024-02-14T14:04:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-14-02-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-04-30T00:20:04","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T03:20:04","slug":"cmf-pre-market-14-02-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-14-02-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 14-02-2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>IPC sorprende al alza y se dispara la volatilidad<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>El d\u00eda de ayer se dio a conocer la inflaci\u00f3n del mes de enero en Estados Unidos, que mostr\u00f3 una variaci\u00f3n mensual mayor a la esperada por la media de los analistas. La sorpresa vino por el lado de los servicios (housing, salarios) que a\u00f1adieron casi 0,5 puntos porcentuales a la variaci\u00f3n mensual. De esta manera, tanto la headline como la core anotaron los valores m\u00e1s altos de los \u00faltimos tres meses. Luego del dato, las tasas de los bonos del Tesoro subieron con fuerza, el mercado pas\u00f3 a modo risk-off \u2013las acciones cayeron m\u00e1s de 1%\u2013 y la volatilidad se dispar\u00f3. La din\u00e1mica de las \u00faltimas semanas hab\u00eda sido muy positiva para los mercados de riesgo, a tal punto que el S&amp;P500 ven\u00eda de hacer m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos \u2013en t\u00e9rminos nominales\u2013 con empresas de tecnolog\u00eda creciendo a ritmos exponenciales. Sin embargo, la confirmaci\u00f3n de una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s resistente a la baja pone en duda cualquier accionar de la Fed de aqu\u00ed en adelante y su impacto sobre los activos de riesgo. La autoridad monetaria viene expresando su preocupaci\u00f3n por la inelasticidad de los precios de servicios, que en el \u00faltimo reporte vuelven a confirmar su rigidez. El mercado pr\u00e1cticamente ha descartado la baja de tasas que esperaba para la reuni\u00f3n de marzo, y se espera que la Fed se mantenga firme en su decisi\u00f3n de mantener los tipos altos por m\u00e1s tiempo. Dado el fuerte movimiento al alza del equity en las \u00faltimas semanas, no ser\u00eda extra\u00f1o ver mayores correcciones en las pr\u00f3ximas ruedas; en caso de querer mantener posici\u00f3n en acciones, <strong>se recomienda aumentar exposici\u00f3n en empresas de calidad con balances s\u00f3lidos y crecimiento estable.<\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Mercado de cambios:<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> el BCRA contin\u00faa su <em>crawling peg<\/em> del 2% mensual y el FX mayorista abre la jornada en $833,9.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Fuerte ca\u00edda del gasto en enero: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>seg\u00fan un informe de la Oficina de Presupuesto del Congreso, los gastos de la Administraci\u00f3n P\u00fablica Nacional cayeron 30,8% interanual en t\u00e9rminos reales, con jubilaciones anotando una baja de 32,8% y gastos de capital de 75,6%. Si bien la metodolog\u00eda reportada por OPC difiere de la publicada por el MECON, da cuenta del fuerte ajuste realizado en el primer mes del a\u00f1o.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Presi\u00f3n en el MULC: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>a partir del d\u00eda de hoy, las MiPyMEs con deuda importadora registrada por hasta USD 500.000 podr\u00e1n acceder al MULC por los primeros USD 50.000. Seg\u00fan estimaciones del BCRA, las empresas beneficiadas ser\u00edan 10.000, por lo que la presi\u00f3n m\u00e1xima al tipo de cambio oficial por MULC ser\u00eda de USD 500 MM. Durante marzo y abril podr\u00e1n cancelar el total de sus obligaciones.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>IPC enero:<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> el d\u00eda de hoy a las 16hs, el INDEC publicar\u00e1 el dato de inflaci\u00f3n del mes de enero. La expectativa del mercado ronda el 21-22%. Recordar que la inflaci\u00f3n de CABA fue de 21,7%.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Saldo en el MULC:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el viernes de la semana pasada, el BCRA compr\u00f3 divisas por USD 167 MM y, de esta manera, acumula USD 2.869 MM en las \u00faltimas 20 ruedas.<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong>Equity: <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el mercado internacional opera en positivo en el pre-market, luego de la toma de ganancia del d\u00eda de ayer. Esta semana contin\u00faa la presentaci\u00f3n de balances que se encuentra pr\u00f3ximo a su fin.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en","category-sin-categorizar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 14-02-2024 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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