{"id":33787,"date":"2022-09-23T10:57:30","date_gmt":"2022-09-23T13:57:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-23-09-2022\/"},"modified":"2024-04-26T12:23:04","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T15:23:04","slug":"cmf-pre-market-23-09-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-23-09-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 23-09-2022"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>El cambio de expectativas es una necesidad<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><em><em><em>Todo parece indicar que inversores extranjeros no est\u00e1n interesados en la deuda soberana argentina. El saldo desde la restructuraci\u00f3n sobre globales es netamente vendedor para no residentes, lo que permite confirmar el sesgo natural de los inversores locales por invertir en deuda de su propio pa\u00eds, aun cuando las condiciones son muy inestables. La confianza en el gobierno de turno se encuentran en niveles muy bajos comparativamente a la salida de Mauricio Macri, lo que lleva a pensar que una mejora en las expectativas que aumente la confianza en el gobierno, o el propio pasar del tiempo que confirme un posible retorno de la oposici\u00f3n al poder, podr\u00edan generar cierto flujo comprador de no residentes; ambas situaciones permitir\u00edan alejar a la deuda soberana hard-dollar de las paridades m\u00ednimas en las que se encuentra hace meses. De todos modos, el camino hacia un cambio en las expectativas parece no encontrar norte, y tanto el oficialismo como la oposici\u00f3n deber\u00e1n trabajar para rescatar al pa\u00eds de la crisis que se encuentra inmerso.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><strong>Mercado de cambio: <\/strong><\/strong>el FX mayorista abre ARS 145.45 (+29 centavos diarios, equivalente a un ritmo de devaluaci\u00f3n del 72.91% TNA).<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong>D\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>el Indec public\u00f3 su informe de cuenta corriente mostrando un d\u00e9ficit de USD 894 MM en el 2T22. El resultado del mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o 2021 fue un super\u00e1vit de USD 2536 MM. El deterioro de este trimestre se explica principalmente por el aumento del d\u00e9ficit en servicios y una ca\u00edda en el super\u00e1vit de bienes. En los \u00faltimos cuatro trimestres, el super\u00e1vit disminuye a 0.2% del PBI, desde 0.9% del PBI al 1T2022.<\/li><li><strong>D\u00f3lar Qatar:<\/strong> seg\u00fan distintos medios, en una reuni\u00f3n entre el gobierno y la Uni\u00f3n Industrial Argentina (UIA) se habl\u00f3 la posibilidad de eliminar la utilizaci\u00f3n de d\u00f3lares para bienes suntuarios, para dejar espacio a la compra de insumos del exterior para producci\u00f3n. El equipo econ\u00f3mico estar\u00eda a favor de imponer un d\u00f3lar diferenciado para turismo, pero todav\u00eda no est\u00e1 claro si ser\u00e1 solo por el Mundial, o para todo el sector.<\/li><li><strong><strong>Aumento de brecha: <\/strong><\/strong>El MEP y el CCL subieron fuerte en las \u00faltimas ruedas, y la brecha entre el TC A3500 y el CCL ya se encuentra en niveles de 116%. Si bien todav\u00eda no se encuentra en m\u00e1ximos vistos luego de la corrida de junio, el contado con liqui cerr\u00f3 en \u00e1rea de $314, m\u00e1ximo desde fines de junio y m\u00e1s de 10% desde m\u00ednimos de la semana pasada. Esto podr\u00eda darse por la expansi\u00f3n monetaria resultante del d\u00f3lar \u201csoja\u201d.\u00a0<\/li><li><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Saldo en el MULC:<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>el d\u00eda de ayer el BCRA culmin\u00f3 la jornada con compras netas por USD 340 MM aproximadamente. En t\u00e9rminos de acumulaci\u00f3n, fue la segunda mayor compra neta en lo que va de septiembre desde que se aplic\u00f3 el d\u00f3lar \u201csoja\u201d. De esta forma se espera que las reservas netas se acerquen a los USD 5.000 MM y se alcance la meta del fondo.<\/li><li><strong> Equity<\/strong>: los mercados globales abren nuevamente en rojo ante incipientes temores de una mayor recesi\u00f3n. La previsi\u00f3n a la baja establecida por la Fed el mi\u00e9rcoles luego del anuncio de tasas gener\u00f3 un mayor risk-off y los principales \u00edndices contin\u00faan ajustando a la baja. Hoy a las 15 hs Powell brindar\u00e1 nuevamente una conferencia.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 23-09-2022 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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