{"id":33582,"date":"2024-02-01T18:13:49","date_gmt":"2024-02-01T21:13:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/cmf-pre-market-28-01-2021-10\/"},"modified":"2024-04-30T00:22:17","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T03:22:17","slug":"cmf-pre-market-28-01-2021-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bancocmf.com.ar\/en\/cmf-pre-market-28-01-2021-10\/","title":{"rendered":"CMF PRE-MARKET 13-01-2022"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Claves del d\u00eda<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Mercado de Cambios: El FX abre ARS103,73 (+8,5 centavos diarios vs cierre de la A3500 de ayer, equivalente a ritmo de devaluaci\u00f3n de 28,00% TNA).<\/li><li>Licitaci\u00f3n del Tesoro: El d\u00eda de ayer el Tesoro capt\u00f3 ARS 114.400M lo que representa el 42,5% de los vencimientos de todo el mes de enero superando de sobre manera los ARS 53.900 que venc\u00edan en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas. El Tesoro nuevamente evit\u00f3 validar aumentos significativos en las tasas mientras que dej\u00f3 de lado el 30% del valor nominal ofertado gracias a que los vencimientos que enfrentaba no eran desafiantes. La demanda se canaliz\u00f3 principalmente v\u00eda Lecer mientras que dentro de las Ledes la opci\u00f3n m\u00e1s corta fue preferida por el mercado. Los instrumentos CER se prefieren por sobre la tasa fija debido a que la gran emisi\u00f3n monetaria de los \u00faltimos meses del 2021 podr\u00eda generar m\u00e1s presi\u00f3n inflacionaria en los pr\u00f3ximos meses. Queda una sola subasta en el mes en la cual el tesoro enfrentar\u00e1 vencimientos por ARS 266.000M mientras que por el momento logr\u00f3 adelantar con la licitaci\u00f3n de ayer ARS 60.480M gracias al financiamiento neto positivo aunque los pr\u00f3ximos vencimientos ser\u00e1n m\u00e1s desafiantes.<\/li><li>Inflaci\u00f3n: El d\u00eda de hoy el INDEC presentar\u00e1 el IPC correspondiente a diciembre 2021. Mientras que en noviembre la inflaci\u00f3n fue de 2,5% generando sorpresa por el bajo nivel, seg\u00fan el REM el mercado espera un IPC en torno a 3,4% evidenciando una aceleraci\u00f3n en el mes anterior y con expectativa de que contin\u00fae en los pr\u00f3ximos meses dado la alta emisi\u00f3n monetaria. En caso de que el IPC sea mayor a 3,3% la inflaci\u00f3n acumulada del 2021 superar\u00eda levemente el 50%.<\/li><li>Campo: La Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario expres\u00f3 que la falta de reservas de agua ya impact\u00f3 en el ma\u00edz temprano y en la soja de primera. En un escenario normal la campa\u00e1 de ma\u00edz hubiese sido cercana a las 56M de toneladas pero con el impacto de la sequ\u00eda se redujo dicha estimaci\u00f3n a 48M de toneladas mientras que en el caso de la soja cae de 45M de toneladas a 40M. Esta situaci\u00f3n implicar\u00eda una p\u00e9rdida cercana a los USD 4.400M.<\/li><li>Industria: El d\u00eda de ayer el INDEC dio a conocer la utilizaci\u00f3n de la capacidad instalada en la industria en noviembre 2021. La medici\u00f3n fue de 68,8% a nivel general aumentando 5,5puntos porcentuales con respecto a noviembre 2020 y alcanzando el m\u00e1ximo nivel desde noviembre 2017. En los 11 meses analizados de 2021 el uso de la capacidad instalada aument\u00f3 8,1 puntos porcentuales y anot\u00f3 una suba mensual luego de haber ca\u00eddo en octubre.<\/li><li>BCRA: La autoridad monetaria anot\u00f3 el d\u00eda de ayer su octava rueda consecutiva sin deshacerse de reservas mientras que moder\u00f3 sustancialmente el ritmo de acumulaci\u00f3n de reservas ya que cerr\u00f3 con una posici\u00f3n neta compradora de solamente USD 1M sumando USD 202M durante lo transcurrido en el mes de enero. Mientras tanto, el volumen del MULC sigue siendo bajo sin lograr superar los USD 150M el d\u00eda de ayer.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Este informe ha sido elaborado a t\u00edtulo informativo. El presente NO debe ser tomado como una recomendaci\u00f3n o instrucci\u00f3n, y no reviste car\u00e1cter de ofertas de productos y\/o servicios ni solicitud de orden&nbsp; de compra y\/o venta. Banco CMF S.A. no ser\u00e1 responsable por ning\u00fan error y\/u omisi\u00f3n del contenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Copyright \u00a9 2017 Banco CMF S.A. All rights reserved.<\/em><\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. Recordatorio de eventos del calendario econ\u00f3mico mensual. Apertura de futuros de USA, US Tr. 10yr y precios de commodities relevantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":32490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pre-market-daily-close-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CMF PRE-MARKET 13-01-2022 - Banco CMF - Banco Corporativo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descripci\u00f3n de la tendencia de apertura de mercados en Europa y cierre en Asia. 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